Ok well it seems one final clarification is in fact necessary after all.
Yes, I think that magical thinking is objectively worse than non-magical thinking when trying to come to reasonable conclusions about, well, anything. I have yet to encounter a robust argument to the contrary.
But, to repeat myself yet again, this is not the point of this thread. I'm happy to take part in a thread arguing the advantages of evidence-based thinking - but this is not that thread.
Let me try and explain via analogy why it is false that "both expressions (are) possibly true and equally likely to sound encouraging to someone who's considering suicide anyway".
Let's imagine 100 people are seriously considering committing suicide. Of those 100, 30 are doing so because they have incurable disease; 20 are doing it because their mental faculties are impaired through neurological disorders and/or substance abuse; 10 are doing it because of financial reasons; 20 are doing it because they find the political and environmental trajectory of the world irredeemable and don't want to watch it any longer; 10 are doing it because of specific family or work-related tragedies from which they cannot recover; 10 are doing it because they have never felt love or acceptance due to sexual, mental or physical issues or a lifetime of abuse. (Based on the posts one reads here, I feel I'm significantly understating the size of this last group, but I wanted to do so in order to show that even with a minority the argument is valid.)
Now, ask yourself which message would be more likely to strike a chord with this final group. Would it be "When you die, your suffering will end?" or would it be "When you die, you will live again in a world where you are loved and cherished?"
One could make the argument that because no one knows 100% what happens after death, that both hypotheses (nothing and blissful afterlife) are equally probable.
My personal view is this argument is based on a complete misunderstanding and in fact a grievous misrepresentation of probability - not to mention it rests on utter disregard for the facts that we do in fact know: cells die, consciousness resides entirely in the brain, the brain is composed exclusively of cells.
Nevertheless, this, once again, is not even the point. The point is that even if you disregard all of that, and cleave to the position that because there is no definitive answer all postulations have equal merit, you are still left with the same question: which option is the most attractive (perhaps to all the 100, but specifically to the 10 who are here because they have never had the love and care they needed)?
Is it the promise of an end to suffering or the promise of a new life of happiness and love?
I submit, again, that whilst theoretically both options are *potentially* possible, one offers a reward and thus imparts a motivation that the other does not.
And, whilst I'm repeating myself anyway, I may as well repeat the point that if your primary purpose is to give comfort, you have nothing to lose by adopting the "suffering is over" approach - whereas the "after death you will be happy and loved" approach carries potential problems which are simply not necessary and could, in some cases, cause people to commit suicide who would otherwise not have done so.
I have seen the argument advanced that "It's not my problem if people are influenced or not by what I believe". I take great issue with that not only as it seems callous and selfish, but it goes against the generally accepted view that people's decisions to take their own lives are their own and should be free from outside influence.
Telling human beings what they want to hear has a long and storied history of success; to deny that someone desperate for happiness and love would be influenced by offers of happiness and love is either idiocy or malignancy or both.
I imagine everyone here is heartily sick of anti-suicide advocates seeking to impose their belief systems on us - and removing our rights to make rational, clear headed decisions about our own bodies and minds. All I'm proposing is that we take care not to do the same.