N
noname223
Archangel
- Aug 18, 2020
- 5,636
I don't think He is. But Putin probably cannot believe how much luck He has. Trump adapts to All Russian narratives. Europe and the US might split. Maybe Trump's goal is to split Russia from China. I don't think this has a high likelihood for success. Why should Russia leave the alliance with China. Who knows who is in the Oval Office in 4 years? Russia's problem is they become more and more dependent from China and the US might help. But certainly Russia won't help Trump to pressure China. Russia doesn't want US hegemony.
There are two theories. Either Putin tries to squeeze everything out of Trump stopping sanctions, re-gaining reputation, better economical relations etc. by acting like He wants peace. He will more and more invest in military. But He could remain passive regarding other European countries except Ukraine.
Or he will test NATO by invading a Small town in an Eastern European country. Especially one with many Russian speakers where He can pretend they get suppressed thus helping them is a necessity. This would test NATO article 5. And very likely without the US NATO will fall apart. But the scenario is more intricate. But this could spark a heated conflict between Europe and Russia which would mean we are officially in World war 3.
I am not sure which theory I believe. There are also many less likely scenarios. What Do you think?
There are two theories. Either Putin tries to squeeze everything out of Trump stopping sanctions, re-gaining reputation, better economical relations etc. by acting like He wants peace. He will more and more invest in military. But He could remain passive regarding other European countries except Ukraine.
Or he will test NATO by invading a Small town in an Eastern European country. Especially one with many Russian speakers where He can pretend they get suppressed thus helping them is a necessity. This would test NATO article 5. And very likely without the US NATO will fall apart. But the scenario is more intricate. But this could spark a heated conflict between Europe and Russia which would mean we are officially in World war 3.
I am not sure which theory I believe. There are also many less likely scenarios. What Do you think?